20 Comments
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TheGreatAwakening's avatar

Excellent piece!!! You rock, Adam, thank you!!!

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BtcLibertarian's avatar

One thing I've learned as I became a Kennedy Democrat. You have to read into the details on anything and question power. Good article. I'll do more research at the next poll.

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Tardigrade's avatar

Sorry Adam, especially after 2016 I don't trust *any* poll.

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Joy Reynolds's avatar

You mean since they don't account for the foreign interference factor?

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Tardigrade's avatar

No, that has nothing to do with my opinion.

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truth seeker's avatar

Words do matter!!! // "In other words, there’s no meaningful takeaway from this poll except that it’s misleading. The spun narrative is that Harris is beating Trump in key swing states. She is not."

The takeaway is that polls are ELECTION meddling. H Clinton was "polling" so far ahead of DJT

that the DemonRats asssued her victory before he pummeled her at the ballot box. The Fake News Echo Chamber did their absolute best to manufacture the outcome. "Polls" are a useless contrivance to influence elections nothing more or less...

Pay them NO attention, ever.

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Daniel Murphy's avatar

The Zogby poll is an example of accurate polling methodology. Currently the only poll I trust.

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Ellen's avatar

Like medical clinical trials, seems like polls can be designed to get whatever results they want, then the media just repeats the press release over and over ... like when they #FollowTheScience ...

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John Wright's avatar

After you stop laughing at the idea of an accurate political poll, you realize it's futile to attempt to find such a thing.

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Daniel Murphy's avatar

The Zogby poll is actually very accurate.

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Sue's avatar

THANK YOU!

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truth seeker's avatar

In other words, there’s no meaningful takeaway from this poll except that it’s misleading. The spun narrative is that Harris is beating Trump in key swing states. She is not.

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Doreene Close's avatar

Most import is the breakdown of Dem, Republican and Independents. Currently 51% of voters are Independent, yet the polls only represent 20-30% Independents. RFK is winning among Independents, which is probably why they are undercounted. There are 101 ways to rig a poll that props up the duopoly.

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Handsome Pristine Patriot's avatar

A good poll is one that shows your guy ahead.

Anyone can buy one like that anywhere, any time.

Therefore, polls are just so much Amish exhaust.

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AwakeningArts's avatar

Though I am planning to vote for Robert F. kennedy, Jr. , I think for full disclosure you should mention that Mr. kennedy commissioned the Zogby poll.

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Daniel Murphy's avatar

Actually Zogby did the poll which brought him into the race without his knowledge.

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Doreene Close's avatar

That is accurate. RFK has told the story about how Zogby contacted him after he did the poll. It was not commissioned by RFK.

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calicomist's avatar

Excellent article! There's a precise science behind the objectivity of data collection method, which takes time, so the result is accurate. Many usually don't do this: they don't invest the time. Media: So what if the poll is inaccurate? The goal is to fill empty air time.

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Joy Reynolds's avatar

Quite a few people say you can't trust any polls, since it's just a snapshot of the moment.

Professor Lichtman has correctly predicted the last 10 presidential races using his "13 keys". https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=M3O_f-SrvPU

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Derpetology101's avatar

Pollstergeist

noun

a poll rigged to show a candidate to be a strong contender when he/she really doesn't stand a ghost of a chance

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