Discussion about this post

User's avatar
Warrior Mom's avatar

WOW, on the Red Cross blood donor thing! I see the screen shot but seriously, its real??

Expand full comment
Anomaloid's avatar

Kennedy does not seem to be competing nearly as well in swing state races in recent polls over the past month compared to how he did in the polls from late last fall that are often quoted in this Substack. He's generally in middle single digits. One of the best recent numbers was 13% from New York State of all places. He also had a 16% showing in a Marquette poll about the Wisconsin general election. Marquette is generally well regarded, which makes me wonder about the quality of some of the other recent state level polls. Most of them were Emerson. I was just scrolling through the real clear politics averages for a number of swing states, and they are no longer including the swing state poll numbers from before the start of the year in their averages. Their analysts have clearly decided that those polls were outliers. This concerns me.

Expand full comment
4 more comments...

No posts